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4 Scenarios for the Future of the Built Environment
by Rex Miller
This will get you thinking. Its a clip of four scenarios out to 2020. Scenario planning is a bread and butter staple of futurists. The process works something like this:
- Collect trends and early adopters.
- Identify the drivers within Society, Technology, the Economy, the Environment and Politics (STEEP).
- Create a scenario grid using a X/Y axis for the key variables you want to test.
- Develop narratives for each quadrant using the applying the data, trends and early signals of change.
- Select the desired future path your organization wants to shape and create your strategic plan for moving in that direction.
Let me know which of the scenarios you think is most likely – AND – what two things you think we can do to effect positive change.
The video was produced by the World Economic Forum. Their vision is as follows: “Our vision for the World Economic Forum is threefold. It aims to be: the foremost organization which builds and energizes leading global communities; the creative force shaping global, regional and industry strategies; the catalyst of choice for its communities when undertaking global initiatives to improve the state the world.”


